Zillard King

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The lesson is simple: gambling still attracts capital when the money is visible. It is less attractive when the payoff lies far in the distance.

The biggest new uncertainty in US sports betting is prediction markets. The American Gaming Association estimates that Americans will legally wager $29.5 billion in betting handle through US regulated commercial sportsbooks during the 2026 NFL season, broadly unchanged from the $29.4 billion handle recorded in 2025. These figures refer to the amount wagered, not sportsbook revenue.

Robinson calls prediction markets “the main event”. His argument is not simply that US customers are moving from sportsbooks to prediction markets. The more important point is that sportsbooks no longer have the relatively protected market that was once assumed.

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Throughout the ad, Novig throws shade on its rivals for offering niche markets on events such as the timeframe for when traders believe that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro will be removed from office. Unlike operators such as Kalshi and Polymarket, Novig has opted to limit its offerings to purely sports. “No betting on wars, or deaths…or politics,” Sweeney mused.

During the 2025-26 NBA season, Kalshi made waves by granting an equity stake to two-time league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo. According to the Wall Street Journal, Sweeney’s representatives approached Novig to express interest as a potential investor. Eventually, the company granted her an undisclosed amount in equity. The increased role of celebrity endorsements in the space is a trend that will likely receive closer observation in the coming months.

During the second half of 2026, prediction markets have endured the wrath of a plethora of state governors, most notably Kathy Hochul of New York.

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FDJ United Director of Casino and Gaming David Robertson was similarly pleased with the opportunity to see his company strengthen its content offering with brand-new types of content. 

“We’re delighted to launch Relax Gaming’s Dream Drop jackpot product, and the initial response from our players has been fantastic. Our ethos is all about creating moments that really matter for players, and Dream Drop does just that,” Robertson said, adding that the company cannot wait for the first Dream Drop millionaire to materialize in Denmark. 

Dream Drop has been a massively popular system with operators, offering companies a way to enhance the experience and retain and engage customers. The Dream Drop jackpot operates just like any other progressive jackpot system, where players get a chance to randomly trigger a massive million(s)-worth payout.